- Tom Brady to retire at any point after the start of the 2022 season is a moderate favorite.
- The 2021-2022 season to be Brady’s last has +180 odds.
- Brady recently said his career is “coming to the end” on LeBron James’ ‘The Shop’.
TAMPA - Tom Brady recently made an appearance on LeBron James’ ‘The Shop’ and talked about many things about his career. One of the most notable topics was his inevitable retirement.
Following his comments, betting odds are available for when he calls it quits.
When Will Tom Brady Retire Odds
- Before 2021 Regular Season Ends +2500
- After 2021 Regular Season Begins -250
- Before 2022 Regular Season Begins +180
How Each Situation Happens
Looking at the available odds, more or less it’s a two-horse race, but that’s not to say that each option doesn’t have a path to cash out.
Before The End Of The 2021 Regular Season (+2500)
With the 2021-2022 NFL season approaching soon, it’s safe to say that Brady will be playing. However, these odds specify that if he retires before the playoffs begin, the bet will cash.
Realistically, the only way that this happens is if Brady suffers a season-ending injury and announces his retirement soon after. However, this seems extremely unlikely as players rarely retire in the middle of a season.
With that said, we’ve seen players retire at stranger times.
There’s a reason these odds are set at +2500 and NFL betting fans would be better off putting a longshot bet on a Super Bowl winner rather than on Brady to retire during the season.
Before The Start Of The 2022 Regular Season (+180)
This is a much more likely possibility as there are multiple ways this comes to fruition. The aforementioned injury could allow Brady to finish the season on the IR and just call it quits after the season, but also Brady could decide that his career is over without the injury.
It’s possible that Brady doesn’t want to retire as a champion and that’s why he’s running it back with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2021. However, if the team does not win the Super Bowl, he could decide that it’s time to hang up the cleats.
Tampa Bay does have the second-shortest odds at Super Bowl betting sites, so even this is far from promising.
Brady has also infamously stated that he wants to play until he’s 45-years-old and would technically become 45 before the start of the 2022 season, but would not have played a game at that age. Depending on a technicality, he could stay true to his promise and still cash out his bet.
After The Start Of the 2022 Regular Season (-250)
This is listed as the most likely possibility by sportsbooks and maybe rightfully so. Not only does this give the longest period of time for the cash to hit (he could play five more years and this would still hit) but it also is likely what Brady meant when he said he wanted to play until he’s 45.
As a matter of fact, Brady has previously mentioned that he might play until he’s 50. Although the recent comments on ‘The Shop’ are possibly more updated, “coming to the end” for someone who’s played over 20 years in the NFL could still mean 3+ more seasons.
Brady is still competing at the highest level and has shown no real signs of slowing down. At 43-years-old he threw for 4,633 yards, the second-most in his career. Given what we’ve seen during his days as a New England Patriot and a Tampa Bay Buccaneer, we can only hope the odds are right as the league will be much different without Tom Brady in it.
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Nick is a football fanatic with years of sports journalism experience. He achieved a degree in Broadcast/Journalism from Penn State University. When he’s not covering the latest NFL odds you can catch him debating Brady > Belichick in his free time.