Is Now The Best Time To Bet Stafford As Super Bowl MVP?

  • Matthew Stafford has +1400 odds to be named the Super Bowl 56 MVP.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have +750 odds to win the Super Bowl.
  • A quarterback has won Super Bowl MVP 11 times in the last 15 years.

LOS ANGELES - Matthew Stafford seems to have solid odds to be named Super Bowl MVP, especially considering his team’s price to win Super Bowl 56.

Super Bowl MVP Is A QB Award

As is the case for many things nowadays, the Super Bowl MVP award has proven to be a quarterback’s award. Considering that a QB has won the Super Bowl MVP in 11 of the last 15 years it’s interesting to see such a discrepancy in Stafford’s odds and his teams.

Super Bowl 56 MVP Odds

  • Aaron Rodgers +450
  • Patrick Mahomes +450
  • Josh Allen +550
  • Tom Brady +600
  • Jimmy Garoppolo +1400
  • Joe Burrow +1400
  • Matthew Stafford +1400
  • Ryan Tannehill +1400
  • Derrick Henry +1800

NFL betting sites have listed the Los Angeles Rams with the fifth-shortest odds to win the Super Bowl which in turn gives Stafford relative value considering how often quarterbacks win the award.

Super Bowl 56 Winner Odds

  • Green Bay Packers +350
  • Kansas City Chiefs +400
  • Buffalo Bills +500
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers +550
  • Los Angeles Rams +750
  • Tennessee Titans +850
  • San Francisco 49ers +1100
  • Cincinnati Bengals +1400

The only non-quarterback to win the award in the last five seasons was Julian Edelman who had a 10-catch 141-yard performance in Super Bowl 53.

Stafford’s Relative Value

Looking at each team’s Super Bowl odds relative to the quarterback’s odds and it’s easy to see Stafford has the best value. For example, those betting on the NFL will find the Green Bay Packers at +350 and Aaron Rodgers at +450.

Further, the Kansas City Chiefs are +400 while Patrick Mahomes +450 and the Buffalo Bills are +500 while Josh Allen’s odds are +550. The trend continues all the way down the last option as the Cincinnati Bengals and Joe Burrow both have +1400 odds.

The difference between the Rams (+750) and Stafford (+1400) is the biggest of any team and its quarterback. As a result, Stafford seems to be a good bet to make strictly from a value standpoint.