Super Bowl: Betting On A.J. Brown’s Range Of Receiving Yards

  • A.J. Brown has a wide range of possible receiving yards outcomes on Super Bowl Sunday.
  • Brown’s most favored outcome is 50 or less yards, but he’s only done that five times this season.
  • His next most favored outcome is between 51-75 yards, but he’s only done that five times as well.

LAS VEGAS - A.J. Brown will likely be the main man for the Philadelphia Eagles in the passing attack on Super Bowl Sunday.

Many online sportsbooks are offering ranges of odds for Brown, including potentially profitable odds on the range of his receiving yards.

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Range Odds

  • 50 Or Less +175
  • 51-75 +300
  • 76-100 +325
  • 101-125 +475
  • 126 Or More +500

One easy way to analyze this prop is to look at the games that Brown has played this season and in the Playoffs, and break them down by the same categories.

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Range – Seasonal Results

  • 50 Or Less – 5 Times
  • 51-75 – 5 Times
  • 76-100 – 4 Times
  • 101-125 – 2 Times
  • 126 Or More – 3 Times

Further, Eagles betting fans can then look at these numbers and assign percentages to how often Brown reached these milestones.

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Range – Seasonal Results In Percentages

  • 50 Or Less – 26.3%
  • 51-75 – 26.3%
  • 76-100 – 21.1%
  • 101-125 – 10.5%
  • 126 Or More – 15.8%

Then, bettors can compare those percentages to the odds given on each outcome, and the implied percentage chances that each of those odds generate.

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Range Odds – Implied Percentages

  • 50 Or Less – 36%
  • 51-75 – 25%
  • 76-100 – 23.5%
  • 101-125 – 17.4%
  • 126 Or More – 16.7%

If a wager has a higher percentage on the Seasonal Results in Percentages table than it does on the Implied Percentages, that means that it might be a good bet.

For example, Brown has gone under 50 yards only 26.3% of the time, but the Super Bowl sportsbooks are charging you like it happens 36% of the time.

On the other hand, Brown has gone for between 50 and 75 yards 26.3% of the time, but the sportsbooks set the odds for it at 25%, thus giving a theoretical edge to bettors on that wager.

Brown Over 75 Receiving Yards? Y/N

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