Why Joe Burrow’s High Attempts Line Is Good News For Overs

  • Joe Burrow has a very high passing attempts O/U of 38.5.
  • He’s hit that number only six times in the regular season.
  • In those games, Burrow passed for more than 279.5 yards four times and threw more than 1.5 touchdowns five times.

KANSAS CITY, Mo. - Joe Burrow has a chance to etch his name in history against the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game – and his team members are already calling Arrowhead Stadium “Burrowhead” in advance.

Super Bowl betting fans would be well advised to track Burrow’s props for the AFC Championship, as they could be extremely relevant when the big game comes around.

Total Passing Yards - Joe Burrow

  • Over 279.5 -115
  • Under 279.5 -115

Burrow, who in the Divisional Round had a far lower O/U than his opponent, Patrick Mahomes, has made up the gap.

Both quarterbacks have O/Us of 279.5 passing yards in this game. That it took an injured ankle to drag Mahomes to his level is relevant, but so is Burrow’s excellent performance.

Burrow has only gone over 279.5 passing yards seven times, and all of them were in the regular season – he’s been under that number in both playoff games.

So what is it that the online sportsbooks know about Burrow’s performance?

Total Passing Attempts In The Game - Joe Burrow (CIN)

  • Over 38.5 -115
  • Under 38.5 -115

Burrow is expected to throw – a lot. 38.5 is a monstrous line for attempts, but it’s one that Burrow can reasonably approach.

He’s gone over this number of attempts only six times in the regular season. Of note, he eclipsed 279.5 passing yards in four of those six games.

When Burrow throws a lot, he tends to rack up yardage – and he also racks up touchdowns.

Total Passing Touchdowns - Joe Burrow

  • Over 1.5 -185
  • Under 1.5 +140

Burrow is heavily tipped to go over 1.5 touchdowns in the game, with monstrous -185 odds to do so.

In the six games in which Burrow has thrown for more than 38.5 attempts, he’s hit two or more touchdowns five times.

If we include games in which Burrow has thrown 37 or more times, he’s six-for-eight on hitting two or more touchdowns.

Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals take on the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. EST on Sunday.

Will Burrow Pass For 2+ Touchdowns? Y/N

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