- Matthew Stafford touchdown odds don't reflect the difference in postseason play
- Tee Higgins touchdown odds are not indicative of matchups and game script
LOS ANGELES - Scoring may be at a premium when the Los Angeles Rams play the Cincinnati Bengals in Super Bowl 56, at least that's what the over-under total of 48 points suggests. Touchdown player props reflect that Super Bowl 56 features the lowest total points over-under since 2017.
Postseason Playing Style Change Indicates Matthew Stafford Touchdown Upside
Matthew Stafford may never be considered a dual-threat quarterback, but he has at least shown a willingness to run the ball in the postseason in comparison to the regular season.
Matthew Stafford Regular Season Rushing Stats (17 Games):
- 32 Rushes 43 Yards 1.3 Yards Per Carry 0 Touchdowns
Matthew Stafford Postseason Rushing Stats (3 Games):
- 15 Rushes 36 Yards 2.4 Yards Per Carry 2 Touchdowns
None of Stafford's rushing stats are particularly impressive in the postseason outside of his touchdowns. Luckily Super Bowl prop bets offer odds for Stafford to score a touchdown.
Anytime Touchdown Scoring Odds (Non-Passing)
- Matthew Stafford To Score A Touchdown +1100
The Los Angeles Rams postseason statistics do not support betting on any Ram's player to score a touchdown unless it is Matthew Stafford. This postseason, Stafford is the only player on the Rams with any rushing touchdowns, and he has two!
Tee Higgins In Position To See Bump In Targets
Factors that point to a big game for Tee Higgins:
- Perennial Pro-Bowler Jalen Ramsey likely to shadow Ja'Marr Chase for most of the Super Bowl
- The Bengals are four-point underdogs, which implies they will play from behind and pass frequently
Tee Higgins is a very good second option in the Cincinnati Bengals passing attack, but with the top option, Ja'Marr Chase getting shadowed by the best cornerback in the league (Jalen Ramsey), it is likely that Tee Higgins will see an increase in targets and touchdown opportunities. He scored six touchdowns in the regular season, with four coming in the last six games, but has yet to find the endzone during the playoffs.
Higgins' touchdown drought in the playoffs can be attributed to a lack of overall passing touchdowns for the Bengals.
Luckily for Super Bowl bettors, the struggles to find the endzone through the air appear likely to end. The Bengals underdog status strongly implies that a pass-first approach may be necessary to keep up with the Los Angeles Rams, which makes Tee Higgins' odds to score a touchdown (+150) a great value.
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Brett has been writing professionally since November of 2021. He had such a passion for sports he even decided to major in Sport Management from Florida State University! When not writing about sports, Brett loves playing DFS, bowling, and golfing.