No Roethlisberger Could Make Steelers Win Total Trend Flip

  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have not recorded a losing season since 1999, and have -105 odds to hit their 2022 7.5 projected win total.
  • Since 2004, the Steelers have hit their projected season win total 12 out of 18 times, including during the last two seasons.

PITTSBURGH – Entering the 2022-2023 season with no Ben Roethlisberger, the Steeler’s win total has been set at 7.5, with -125 odds to go under and -105 to hit the over.

The Steelers Always Have Winning Seasons

The Steelers have not ended a season below .500 since 1999, with at least eight wins in all of those 22 seasons.

Since 2000, the Steelers have had the second-best record in the NFL, with a 64.4%-win rate. Since 2004, when Roethlisberger was drafted, the Steelers have hit their betting win season total 12 times while going under only six.

The team’s 2022 7.5-win total is the lowest the Steelers have ever been projected since 2001 when they hit the over for their 7.5 total.

In the last two seasons, the Steeles hit their projected win total, with +110 odds in 2021 and +100 odds in 2020. Still, this will be the third straight season that the Steelers are favored to hit the under.

Only needing eight wins in a 17-game season, there is value in betting on a team that has not missed this mark in 22 years.

Does Starting QB Matter For Betting On Pittsburgh?

Even with Mitchell Trubisky on the roster, Kenny Pickett has -200 odds to be the starter in Pittsburgh. The Rookie QB has high expectations and is currently leading the rookie of the year odds at +650.

Pickett starting for the Steelers in his rookie season would feel very familiar to long-time Pittsburg fans. When Roethlisberger was drafted in 2004, he started as a rookie and become the youngest quarterback to win the Super Bowl during SB XL.

In the scenario that Pickett does not end up getting the start or ends up betting benched during the regular season, Trubisky has shown that he can pull off a winning season. During the 2018 season, he led the Bears to a 12-win season, when they had -135 preseason odds to hit the under on their 7.5 projection.

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