Can Trevor Lawrence Hit His Season Prop Overs?

  • Trevor Lawrence’s passing yard total is set at 4000.5 yards.
  • There are -125 odds on Trevor Lawrence throwing over 22.5 touchdowns.
  • Trevor Lawrence’s interception total is set at 14.

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – Trevor Lawrence did not have the rookie season that many were hoping for as the number one pick in last year’s draft. But, oddsmakers have high hopes for him this season as all of his season totals are significantly higher than what he recorded last season.

Last season, Lawrence went for 3,641 passing yards, 12 touchdowns, and threw for 17 interceptions. His totals this season have his betting odds going for 350+ more passing yards, 11+ more touchdowns, and throwing three fewer interceptions.

Trevor Lawrence Player Props

Prop Total Over Odds Under Odds
Passing Yards 4000.5 -115 -115
Passing Touchdowns 22.5 -135 -105
Interceptions 14 -115 -115

There is reason to believe that he will hit the over for his passing yards total. The Jags spent the most money in the offseason that including the additions of Brandon Scherff, Christian Kirk, and Evan Engram. Of the three signings, Scherff on the offensive line was the most important as he did not let up a single sack last season meaning Lawrence could have way more time to make efficient passes.

Kirk was also a major addition after his breakout season in 2021 that saw career-high receptions (77) and yards (982).

Travis Etienne also has the skill set to be a great pass-catching back which he proved to be with Lawrence during their time together at Clemson. In the last two seasons they played together in college, Etienne went for 430+ receiving yards.

As for his touchdown total, while the projection is a major shift from what he put up last season, his receiving core has shown tremendous efficiency in the redzone. Keeping with Kirk, in his last three seasons he’s gone for over a 60% completion rate in the redzone with at least three redzone touchdowns in his last two seasons.

In Marvin Jones’ first season with Jacksonville, he led the team in redzone targets with 15 at a 40% completion rate. Lastly, while many are quick to overlook Evan Engram, he has been a reliable redzone target in his last three seasons going for over a 40% rate in each year with two of the three seeing 14 targets.

Looking at his interception numbers, he could stay under here first off because the Jags have the second easiest strength of schedule for quarterbacks this season. Also, just five of their 17 games this season are coming against top-10 teams in interceptions last year.

They are also looking at seven games against teams that recorded under 15 total interceptions for the year.

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