- Mac Jones and the Patriots are on a six-game winning streak and have the lead in the AFC East.
- The Buffalo Bills, who they play on Monday, are still favored to win the East when all is said and done.
- Jones, against a great defense in bad weather, has -114 odds to pass for more than 205.5 yards.
FOXBOROUGH, Mass. - Mac Jones has played incredibly well in the middle part of his rookie campaign, shooting himself to favorite status to win the Rookie of the Year award.
Jones’ New England Patriots have responded, winning six games in a row to bring their record to 8-4, atop an AFC East that many expected would pose no challenge for the Buffalo Bills.
The Bills host the Patriots on Monday Night Football, and it’s a game that could set the tone for the rest of the season in the AFC East. The Patriots have a one-game lead in the division, but the Bills are still mild favorites to take the division.
AFC East Division Winner Odds
- Buffalo Bills -125
- New England Patriots EVEN
- Miami Dolphins +20000
- New York Jets +80000
Jones will have to be a big part of any theoretical Patriots victory, although he will likely struggle with what is expected to be some of the worst weather either team will see all season.
Temperatures are expected to start in the low 30s, with a likely drop to the 20s or even the teens possible during the game. However, it is the wind that will cause the most problems - at kickoff, winds of up the 40 MPH are expected, and these will continue during the game.
By 11 p.m. EST, most of the winds are expected to settle down, but much of the game will already be over at that time.
Mac Jones Passing Yards O/U Odds
- Over 205.5 -114
- Under 205.5 -114
Jones has only passed for less than 205.5 yards in three games this season, but he’s facing arguably the best defense in the NFL against passers. The Bills are giving up 0.7 passing touchdowns per game, and 178.5 passing yards, numbers that are first and second in the league respectively.
Additionally, they’re forcing 14.2 incompletions per game, third-most in the NFL, and allowing only 5.3 yards per pass attempt, the best mark in the NFL.
This defense is not to be trifled with, and the weather will only make them more dangerous to Jones, as he’ll either be throwing with or against some serious wind resistance. It’s a testament to Jones that his O/U is above 200 yards in this situation - the online sportsbooks clearly respect his abilities as a passer.
However, NFL betting fans should be keenly aware of the kind of defense Buffalo is playing this year, and in weather like this, it’s hard to count on anyone, let alone a rookie QB.
The New England Patriots take on the Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football, which will be broadcast on ESPN with kick off at 8:15 p.m. EST.
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