- The Kansas City Chiefs host the Buffalo Bills for Sunday Night Football.
- The Chiefs and the Bills matched up in the AFC Championship Game last season.
- The Chiefs are favored to win this matchup by sportsbooks but only by a three point margin.
KANSAS CITY, Mo. - The Kansas City Chiefs play host to the Buffalo Bills in a rematch of the AFC Championship game from last season and a potential preview of the AFC Championship game in this season.
The Chiefs have lost more games than expected this season, with a 2-2 record that understates their incredible level of talent.
The Bills took a surprising loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 1 but have otherwise been dominant, and are coming off of a 40-0 drubbing of the Houston Texans.
Both teams are considered favorites to win the Super Bowl, with the Chiefs' odds sitting at +550 and the Bills at +800.
The NFL betting markets favor the Chiefs at home, although only slightly, and the Bills could be the frisky underdogs for this one.
Buffalo Bills Vs. Kansas City Chiefs
- Buffalo Bills +3.0 (-120)
- Kansas City Chiefs -3.0 (+100)
The shading on this line is going in the direction of the Bills, which means that it wouldn’t be a shock to see it move to KC -2.5 at some point in the future.
The line opened at KC -3.5 at most sportsbooks, and trended evenly before heading downward as the game approached.
The Bills have been remarkably good at covering the spread on the road, with a 5-1 ATS road record in their last six games dating back to last season.
In fact, in their last fifteen games, once again dating back to last season, the Bills are 12-3 against the spread.
The Chiefs, meanwhile, are the exact opposite - in their last fifteen games, they’re 3-12 against the spread.
In addition, in their last five games dating back to last season, they’re 1-4 against the spread when they are favored.
Frankly, most of the ATS trends look bad for the Chiefs, and most of the ATS trends look good for the Bills, because the Bills have been on an excellent ATS run and the Chiefs have been on a terrible one.
However, past performance is no guarantee of future results, especially in sports gambling.
One trend that isn’t so rosy for the Bills is that the Chiefs have managed to cover the spread in five of their last six matchups against the Bills.
The Role Of Injuries
Both the Chiefs and the Bills could be suffering some serious injuries by the time the game rolls around.
Chiefs DL Chris Jones did not participate in practice on Wednesday and Thursday, as he is suffering from a wrist injury.
For the Bills, linebacker Matt Milano, the heart of the defense, did not participate in practice either, dealing with a hamstring injury.
Both teams have shown the potential for elite offensive production - they’re tied for second in the NFL in terms of averaged points per game with 33.5.
Buffalo Bills Vs. Kansas City Chiefs O/U Odds
- OVER 56.5 -110
- UNDER 56.5 -110
In this context, the fact that this game has the highest O/U line of the year so far makes some sense.
NFL betting fans will have to determine for themselves if such a high line is worth it when both teams are each offensive powerhouses and both could be missing key defensive pieces.
The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Buffalo Bills for Sunday Night Football, which starts at 8:20 p.m. EST on NBC.
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Maxwell joined the BettingSuperBowl team in 2019 and is thrilled to be working for a website that so mirrors his interests. Maxwell is an avid follower of sports, a consumer of sports gambling news, and seeks to constantly better himself and his readers.