Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers Are Not Expected To Be Great

  • Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers are top-ten MVP candidates this year.
  • The two are both expected to pass for less than 250 yards in their upcoming matchup.
  • Neither QB has elite WR options, with Rodgers losing Davante Adams, and Brady without Chris Godwin and Mike Evans.

TAMPA, Fla. – Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers are currently both in the top seven to win the 2022 NFL MVP, giving their matchup on Sunday extra weight.

NFL – Regular Season MVP Odds

  • Josh Allen +300
  • Patrick Mahomes +450
  • Jalen Hurts +900
  • Justin Herbert +900
  • Lamar Jackson +1000
  • Aaron Rodgers +1600
  • Tom Brady +1800

The matchup between these two MVP candidates could be one that sets the tone for the season for either of them.

Total Passing Yards – Aaron Rodgers

  • Over 238.5 -115
  • Under 238.5 -115

Rodgers, last year’s MVP, has been downright pedestrian in his two games so far this year, throwing for 195 and 234 yards against the Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears respectively.

In 2022, Rodgers averaged 257 passing yards per game – his 2022 average of about 214 would be his lowest ever mark as a starter.

It’s possible that the betting markets are concerned with Rodgers’ newfound ayahuasca habit.

Total Passing Yards – Tom Brady

  • Over 248.5 -105
  • Under 248.5 -125

Brady has also had a rough go of it this year. He’s passed for 190 yards and 212 yards in his two games played, against the Dallas Cowboys and New Orleans Saints respectively.

Brady has played six games against the Packers in his career. His lowest passing yards total against GB came in 2010, when he passed for 163 yards. His highest came in 2019, when he passed for 294 yards.

Total Passing Touchdowns – Aaron Rodgers

  • Over 1.5 +115
  • Under 1.5 -150

Rodgers’ main red-zone threat, Davante Adams, is now on the Las Vegas Raiders rather than the Green Bay Packers. In his absence, Rodgers has thrown only two touchdowns this season.

Perhaps this is why the online sportsbooks believe that he is more likely to throw less than 1.5 touchdowns than he is to throw more than 1.5 touchdowns.

Total Passing Touchdowns – Tom Brady

  • Over 1.5 -135
  • Under 1.5 +105

Speaking of missing red-zone threats, Tampa Bay  WR Mike Evans is suspended for this matchup after being part of a fight during Tampa Bay’s win over the New Orleans Saints.

In addition, WR Julio Jones is questionable for the game, nursing a knee injury that kept him out of the Saints game, and WR Chris Godwin is on IR with a hamstring injury.

Still, the online sportsbooks are more confident in Brady’s ability to pass for touchdowns than they are in Rodgers’.

Brady has passed for two or more touchdowns in four of his six career games against Green Bay.

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