Betting on Dolphins 4th Straight Win Over Pats

  • The Dolphins are the betting favorite against the Patriots for the first time since 2015 with -165 odds and won the two team’s last three matchups.
  • The Dolphins went 9-7-1 ATS in 2021 and had a spread record of 7-1 when playing at home during the 2020 season.

MIAMI, Fl. – The Miami Dolphins host the New England Patriots during the first week of the 2022-23 NFL season and the Dolphins are the favorite against their AFC East rival for the first time since the 2013 season.

Game Line

  • Miami -165
  • New England +140

Even though sportsbooks have given the Patriots the best odds to win in all three games, the Dolphins have defeated the Patriots as betting underdogs in their last three matchups. These two teams opened up the 2021 season against each other and the Dolphins escaped Gillette Stadium by a single point.

They also ended the 2021 season against each other in week 18, where the Dolphins won by nine.

Week One 2021 Odds

  • Miami +160
  • New England -189

3.5 spread

Week 18 2021 Odds

  • New England -225
  • Miami +185

5.5 spread

If betting on the Dolphins to get their fourth straight win against the Patriots, there is value in betting on the 1.5 spread as well. Miami recorded their second straight winning season since the early 2000s and was the tenth best team ATS in 2021, going 9-7-1

They covered 55.6% of their home games in 2021 and were the best team in NFL ATS at home in 2020 with a record of 7-1.

Team Prop Bets with Value

As both team’s first game of the 2022 NFL season, Super Bowl sportsbooks have over 100 prop bets that can be wagered on, including team scoring props.

First Team to Score First Quarter

  • Yes +170
  • No -230

During the 2021 season, Miami scored a touchdown in 11 of their games and scored in the first quarter in 12 total. The Dolphins pulled off scoring a touchdown in the first quarter of both of their matchups with New England in 2021.

The Patriots managed to score in the first quarter in nine of their 2021 games, giving value to this scoring prop bet for week one of the NFL season.

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