- There are +450 odds for Joe Burrow and Trevor Lawrence to throw for 250+ yards and Joe Mixon and James Robinson to have 40+ rushing yards.
- Both Lawrence and Burrow’s passing yard totals are set roughly at 250.
- James Robinson and Joe Mixon’s rushing totals are set over 40+ yards.
CINCINNATI – Week 4 of Thursday Night Football features a matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Jacksonville Jaguars in which the Bengals are favored to win.
There is one player prop bet on NFL sportsbooks that has tremendous value involving some of this matchups' best players in Joe Burrow, Trevor Lawrence, Joe Mixon, and James Robinson.
Trevor Lawrence/Joe Burrow 250+ Passing Yards, James Robinson/Joe Mixon 40+ Rushing Yards
- Yes +450
James Robinson + Joe Mixon
This side of the line should be of little to no worry as both running backs have hit OVER 40 yards in each of their games where they have received the majority of the snap share.
Looking at James Robinson, in Weeks 2 and 3 where he started, the majority of his runs went to the left side of the field. In those two games, he also had eight carries that went for 5+ yards. Also, his run to the left could be valuable here being that the Bengals ROLB, Germaine Pratt, allowed Najee Harris to trample him with 142 total yards in more than half of his snaps going to the left side. All of Robinson’s 5+ yard runs have shifted to the left and of the 26 carries he had, just three of them leaned towards the right.
On the other side, Joe Mixon has been spectacular in the first three weeks going for 69+ yards each week. The Bengals usually run the ball out of the shotgun formation where Mixon lines up to the right of Burrow. In three games, when lining up on the right, Mixon has 11 carries that went for over five yards including three in Week 3 and four in Week 2. In the 28 carries that he had in the last two weeks, 20 of them were to the right.
In Week 2, when it was the Arizona Cardinals against the Jaguars, the running from the right hash mark, James Conner had three runs go for over 5+ yards and two touchdowns for 42 rushing yards. With Mixon’s strongest side being the right, this could leave him in line for well over 40 yards.
Both of these players have their rushing totals set at well over 40 yards which should indicate that even sportsbooks have high expectations for them. Robinson has his total rushing yards is set at 54.5 while Mixon is looking at an 88.5-yard rushing total.
Joe Burrow + Trevor Lawrence
There is no hiding that both teams have had a tough first three weeks facing harsh defenses. The Jags went up against the Cardinals and Denver Broncos in the last two weeks, who are both in the Top-10 for fewest passing yards allowed. The Bengals saw the Pittsburgh Steelers and Chicago Bears in their last two games who both have above average secondaries that include Minkah Fitzpatrick and Eddie Jackson.
The Jaguars have allowed their opposing quarterbacks to go for over 250 passing yards in each of their games this season while the Bengals have allowed the opposing quarterbacks to go for 250+ twice. Both Lawrence and Burrow have also hit the OVER one time apiece.
Each of their totals are also set in the 250 range as Joe Burrow is looking at a 250.5-yard total with -115 odds and Trevor Lawrence has a 249.5-yard total with -110 odds leaning towards the OVER.
Both QBs could look to attack the weakest defensive back on the opposing teams, which would be Chidobe Awuzie for the Bengals and Tyson Campbell for the Jaguars. Each who has 10 or fewer tackles and less than five pass deflections.
All in all, this prop offers great value odds for a decent payout.
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Samuel has been writing professionally for 4 years. He comes from a sports writing background where he enjoys writing mostly about basketball and football both professional and collegiate. He is a recent graduate of Florida State University where he majored in Editing, Writing and Media with a minor in Communications. During his free time, you can find him watching or playing sports as well as playing videogames and listening to music.