- Elijah Mitchell has +800 odds to have the most rushing yards in the NFL on Sunday.
- Javonte Williams also has a +800 betting line, tied for the shortest odds.
SAN FRANCISCO – Two rookie running backs are favored to lead Week 14 in rushing yards among all players on Sunday.
Most Rushing Yards (Sunday Only) Week 14
- Elijah Mitchell +800
- Javonte Williams +800
- Joe Mixon +800
- Nick Chubb +800
- Antonio Gibson +900
- Austin Ekeler +1200
Elijah Mitchell Vs. Cincinnati Bengals
If there is a person to fade in this spot, it’ probably Elijah Mitchell. Truthfully, it doesn’t seem right that NFL betting sites even have him in the top five. He’s playing the Cincinnati Bengals who are allowing the fourth-fewest rushing yards per game (92.5) and are a particularly good matchup for him.
Just over 53% of Mitchell’s carries this season have been between the tackles and he is averaging 3.4 yards per carry when doing so. Particularly, 31% of his carries are directly up the middle.
The Bengals’ defense excels in stuffing runs up the middle, allowing just 3.1 yards per carry.
Based on volume alone, Mitchell may have an okay day, but it’s tough to see him having more rushing yards than any other running back.
Javonte Williams Vs. Detroit Lions
Javonte Williams ran for 102 yards and added 76 yards in the passing game last weekend with Melvin Gordon injured. There’s no telling whether Gordon will return to the lineup for Week 14, but if he does bettors should stay away.
If Williams is able to lead the backfield, he could very well have more rushing yards than any other back. He’s shown out when running behind or outside the tackles this season, which he does on 59.3% of his carries. He’s averaged 5.95 yards per carry when doing so.
The Detroit Lions aren’t very good at stopping the run in any way as they allow the fifth-most rushing yards per game, but they’re even more inept at stopping outside rushes. The Lions have allowed 4.5 yards per carry this season on rushes either behind or outside the tackles, making it a great matchup for Williams.
Not only is it a bad rush defense, but it’s a defense that struggles specifically with Williams’ biggest strength. This is the bet to make on online sportsbooks.
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Nick is a football fanatic with years of sports journalism experience. He achieved a degree in Broadcast/Journalism from Penn State University. When he’s not covering the latest NFL odds you can catch him debating Brady > Belichick in his free time.