In Depth AFC Championship Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens Vs. Kansas City Chiefs

  • The Baltimore Ravens have -180 odds to beat the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship.
  • 59% of the betting handle is on the Chiefs to cover.
  • Patrick Mahomes is 11-3-1 ATS as an underdog in his career.

BALTIMORE – The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs are set to face off in the AFC Championship and many are calling for a legacy game by both Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes.

As they sit right now, Super Bowl sportsbooks are leaning in favor of Jackson and the Ravens being that they are playing at home where they’ve only lost three times this season.

Baltimore Ravens Vs. Kansas City Chiefs

  • Moneyline: Ravens (-180) vs. Chiefs (+155)
  • Spread: Ravens -3.5
  • Total: 44.5 Points

Getting into the public splits, the 3.5 points on the spread is seeing 59% of the money and 64% of total bets coming on the Chiefs odds. The moneyline is seeing a pretty even split with 61% of the betting handle being laid on the Chiefs while 59% of bets placed going on the Ravens odds.

Lamar Vs. Mahomes Trends + Stats

Both Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes are regarded as two of the top quarterbacks in the NFL. That said, it is always a treat when they go head to head. In four total meetings, the Chiefs have held strong at 3-1 with Mahomes throwing for 1,479 yards and 12 touchdowns while Jackson has totaled 750 passing yards, four passing touchdowns, 303 rushing yards, and three rushing touchdowns.

From a betting standpoint, there is plenty to point out as well. This season the Ravens have the second-best record against the spread at 12-6 with an average cover margin of +8.6 points and an average win margin of 12.6 points which leads the NFL. Kansas City, on the other hand, went 11-7-1 ATS, with a -0.1 cover margin and just a 5.2 average win margin.

Aside from the 3-1 split in their four meetings, the two have split the difference against the spread. Looking at the Chiefs, under Patrick Mahomes, whenever they are put in an underdog situation in both the regular and postseason, they’ve gone 11-3-1 against the spread and 10-5 straight up. In two games as a playoff underdog, they are 2-0 SU and ATS.

As for Jackson and the Ravens, this is just their fourth playoff game as a favorite with Lamar at the helm. In those four games, they are 2-2 both against the spread and on the moneyline.

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